Which model leads ForecastBench Brier Index?

Inkling leads the ForecastBench Brier Index board of 1 measured models on the Vector Wire tracker at 61.1. Every score is source-attributed with a verification tier.

ForecastBench Brier Index Leaderboard — Model Scores

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Pro Mode — raw scores, one benchmark under the lensofficial card harness

1 models measured, most on the official card harness. Inkling tops the board at 61.1.

1 measured·Lifecycle Updated Sep 2, 2026Basis

#◆Vendor$/M in$/M out

Leader — ignites whiteField — fill cools with scoreIndependently verified only0 of 1Bars show 61.1–61.1· ◆ solid = first-party or better · outlined = arm's-length

01InklingThinking Machines61.1$0.95/M$4.0/M$0.041

◆ solid = independently verified · aggregator attested · vendor attributed — outlined = cross-reference · source-attributed. Dimmed ◆ = confidence inferred. “+N alts” = alternate disclosures in the drawer with why-demoted. Prices per million tokens; $/point = input price ÷ score. Every row opens its model dossier.