Which model leads Prophet Arena Brier Score?

Inkling leads the Prophet Arena Brier Score board of 2 measured models on the Vector Wire tracker at 0.1617. Every score is source-attributed with a verification tier.

Prophet Arena Brier Score Leaderboard — Model Scores

Refresh Models —Deals —Regulatory —Sources —

Pro Mode — raw scores, one benchmark under the lensofficial card harness

The field · 2 measured

0.1240.162

2 models measured, most on the official card harness. Inkling tops the board at 0.162.

2 measured·Lifecycle Updated Sep 2, 2026Basis

#◆Vendor$/M in$/M out

Leader — ignites whiteField — fill cools with scoreIndependently verified only0 of 2Bars show 0.124–0.162· ◆ solid = first-party or better · outlined = arm's-length

01InklingThinking Machines0.162$0.95/M$4.0/M$15.461

02Inkling-SmallThinking Machines0.124$0.30/M$1.2/M$6.058

◆ solid = independently verified · aggregator attested · vendor attributed — outlined = cross-reference · source-attributed. Dimmed ◆ = confidence inferred. “+N alts” = alternate disclosures in the drawer with why-demoted. Prices per million tokens; $/point = input price ÷ score. Every row opens its model dossier.